Atlético Choloma
vs
Platense FC
2 – 0 Full time
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC
| Probability | Atlético Choloma | Draw | Platense FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 27.3% | 25.7% |
| Market | 38.4% | 28.0% | 33.6% |
| Final | 40.5% | 27.8% | 31.6% |
| Edge | +8.7% | -0.8% | -7.9% |
Why Atlético Choloma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.12.
- The market prices Atlético Choloma below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlético Choloma and Platense FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Atlético Choloma and Platense FC attack and defence ratings
Atlético Choloma
Platense FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC: result vs prediction
Atlético Choloma 2 – 0 Platense FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 40.5% | 2.47 | +8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 40.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Platense FC | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlético Choloma win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC stats
Atlético Choloma and Platense FC recent form
| Atlético Choloma |
LLLWLL |
| Platense FC |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlético Choloma and Platense FC going into this match
Atlético Choloma record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense FC record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Atlético Choloma | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Platense FC | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Atlético Choloma | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-4 |
| 2025-08-31 | Platense FC | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 28.2%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.16 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.30 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.15 | 2.69 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 3.15 | 2.82 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .