CD Marathon
vs
Real Espana
1 – 1 Full time
CD Marathon vs Real Espana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Marathon vs Real Espana
| Probability | CD Marathon | Draw | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 36.2% | 36.7% |
| Market | 40.4% | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| Final | 37.1% | 31.5% | 31.3% |
| Edge | -13.3% | +6.2% | +7.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Marathon and Real Espana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.73
CD Marathon and Real Espana attack and defence ratings
CD Marathon
Real Espana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CD Marathon vs Real Espana: result vs prediction
CD Marathon 1 – 1 Real Espana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Marathon vs Real Espana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 37.1% | 2.69 | -13.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 37.1% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Real Espana | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.4% |
| No | 65.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 8.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.1% |
| 0-1 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
CD Marathon vs Real Espana stats
CD Marathon and Real Espana recent form
| CD Marathon |
WDWDDD |
| Real Espana |
DWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Marathon and Real Espana going into this match
CD Marathon record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Real Espana record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
CD Marathon vs Real Espana head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Real Espana | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | CD Marathon | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Real Espana | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | CD Marathon | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-16 | CD Marathon | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Real Espana | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CD Marathon vs Real Espana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 30.0%, away 29.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.04 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.00 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.05 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 2.94 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .