Honduras Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Apertura - 5
Génesis
vs
CD Marathon
1 – 2 Full time
Génesis
38%
Draw
38%
CD Marathon
24%
Génesis vs CD Marathon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Génesis vs CD Marathon
| Probability | Génesis | Draw | CD Marathon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 37.9% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.8% | 37.9% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
78%
2+ goals
48%
3+ goals
21%
No goals
22%
Génesis and CD Marathon expected goals
Génesis
0.90
CD Marathon
0.66
Total expected goals: 1.57
Génesis and CD Marathon attack and defence ratings
Génesis
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.76 -24%
CD Marathon
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
0.60 -40%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Génesis vs CD Marathon: result vs prediction
Génesis 1 – 2 CD Marathon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Génesis vs CD Marathon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Génesis | 37.8% |
| Draw | 37.9% | |
| CD Marathon | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.1% |
| No | 69.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Génesis win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.2% |
| 1-0 | 17.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Génesis vs CD Marathon stats
Génesis and CD Marathon recent form
| Génesis |
DWLWLD |
| CD Marathon |
DWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Génesis and CD Marathon going into this match
Génesis record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
CD Marathon record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Génesis vs CD Marathon head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Génesis wins
0Draws
3CD Marathon wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Génesis | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-27 | CD Marathon | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Génesis | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | CD Marathon | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.