CD Marathon
vs
Estrella Roja
5 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | C. CalixA. Avila | ||
| 10′ | N. Messiniti | ||
| 37′ | N. Messiniti | ||
| 45′ | J. A. Arriaga Chavez | ||
| 46′ | B. FarioliI. Castillo | ||
| 46′ | C. ArguetaJ. Fernandez | ||
| 46′ | Y. MorenoC. Perez | ||
| 46′ | J. GutierrezE. Duarte | ||
| 46′ | M. GarciaO. Rosales | ||
| 46′ | F. LopezN. Luna | ||
| 52′ | I. Castillo | ||
| 61′ | N. MessinitiA. Elis | ||
| 65′ | T. A. Sorto CaballeroJ. Bueso | ||
| 69′ | J. Padilla | ||
| 69′ | J. VelasquezS. Bermudez | ||
| 71′ | D. RamirezO. Ramos | ||
| 81′ | R. MayorquinB. Rosales | ||
| 82′ | I. Castillo |
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja
| Probability | CD Marathon | Draw | Estrella Roja |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 31.3% | 32.4% |
| Market | 60.1% | 24.1% | 15.7% |
| Final | 54.2% | 25.9% | 19.9% |
| Edge | -23.9% | +7.2% | +16.7% |
Why CD Marathon
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Marathon and Estrella Roja expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
CD Marathon and Estrella Roja attack and defence ratings
CD Marathon
Estrella Roja
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja: result vs prediction
CD Marathon 5 – 0 Estrella Roja
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 54.2% | 1.85 | -23.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 54.2% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Estrella Roja | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja stats
CD Marathon and Estrella Roja recent form
| CD Marathon |
WDWDWD |
| Estrella Roja |
DWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Marathon and Estrella Roja going into this match
CD Marathon record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Estrella Roja record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.4%, draw 23.7%, away 15.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.85 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Superbet | 1.51 | 3.90 | 5.55 |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 4.10 | 6.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .