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Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 7

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia

1 – 0 Full time

5′N. Dibble
36′E. Cuello
36′D. Paguada
40′J. Rivera
46′J. RodriguezI. Enriquez
46′N. DibbleE. Rodriguez
50′T. A. Sorto Caballero
52′E. Cuello
52′E. Cuello
53′D. PaguadaC. Canales
59′C. PerezY. Moreno
70′K. PenaK. Guity
73′C. Canales
74′T. A. Sorto CaballeroA. Elis
78′A. MaldonadoY. Arboleda
79′B. Farioli
82′J. A. Arriaga ChavezJ. Aguilera
82′H. Figueroa
87′Y. Arboleda
87′Y. Moreno
89′E. Menjivar
90′E. Rodriguez
90′B. Farioli
90′B. Farioli
90′J. Rougier

Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula

CD Marathon 42%
Draw 28%
CD Olimpia 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCD MarathonDrawCD Olimpia
Model42.4%29.6%28.1%
Market41.6%28.1%30.3%
Final41.8%28.5%29.8%
Edge+0.8%+1.5%-2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why CD Marathon

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.07.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CD Marathon ↓ / CD Olimpia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

CD Marathon and CD Olimpia expected goals

CD Marathon 1.37
CD Olimpia 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.45

CD Marathon and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings

CD Marathon

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.57 -43%

CD Olimpia

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia: result vs prediction

CD Marathon 1 – 0 CD Olimpia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Marathon 41.8% 2.39 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CD Marathon41.8%
Draw28.5%
CD Olimpia29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.2%
Under 2.555.8%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1CD Marathon win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-010.6%
0-010.0%

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia stats

CD Marathon and CD Olimpia recent form

newest first
CD Marathon WWDWDW
CD Olimpia WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CD Marathon and CD Olimpia going into this match

league record before kick-off

CD Marathon record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

CD Olimpia record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3CD Marathon wins 1Draws 6CD Olimpia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16CD MarathonCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2026-05-07CD OlimpiaCD MarathonHonduras Liga Nacional2-0
2026-04-23CD OlimpiaCD MarathonHonduras Liga Nacional2-1
2026-03-01CD MarathonCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional2-1
2026-01-08CD OlimpiaCD MarathonHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2026-01-04CD MarathonCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional2-2
2025-11-23CD OlimpiaCD MarathonHonduras Liga Nacional3-2
2025-08-31CD MarathonCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional2-0
2025-04-27CD MarathonCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional1-2
2025-02-23CD OlimpiaCD MarathonLiga Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 28.1%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.18 3.24 3.00
Bet365 2.15 3.25 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.13 3.10
Betano 2.20 3.10 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.00
Marathonbet 2.16 3.24 2.94

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▲ +0.02
X 3.24 ▼ -0.03
2 3.00 ▲ +0.03

4 snapshots recorded, from .