Lobos Upnfm
vs
Atlético Choloma
1 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | D. Suazo | ||
| 16′ | E. Lopez |
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma
| Probability | Lobos Upnfm | Draw | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 30.1% | 41.6% |
| Market | 48.6% | 26.4% | 25.0% |
| Final | 43.5% | 27.4% | 29.1% |
| Edge | -20.3% | +3.7% | +16.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lobos Upnfm and Atlético Choloma expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Lobos Upnfm and Atlético Choloma attack and defence ratings
Lobos Upnfm
Atlético Choloma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma: result vs prediction
Lobos Upnfm 1 – 0 Atlético Choloma
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lobos Upnfm | 43.5% | 2.30 | -20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lobos Upnfm | 43.5% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Atlético Choloma | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lobos Upnfm win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 71.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma stats
Lobos Upnfm and Atlético Choloma recent form
| Lobos Upnfm |
LLLDDL |
| Atlético Choloma |
DLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lobos Upnfm and Atlético Choloma going into this match
Lobos Upnfm record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlético Choloma record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Lobos Upnfm | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-29 | Atlético Choloma | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Atlético Choloma | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2025-08-04 | Lobos Upnfm | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 26.4%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.35 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.40 | 3.72 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .