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Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm

0 – 2 Full time

13′Y. Hinestroza
23′D. Carter
26′Y. ArriolaA. Portillo
34′S. Elvir
46′Y. Jasid Arzu MarinA. Garcia
46′C. GutierrezD. Osorio
46′Y. HinestrozaC. Mejia
46′J. GlavocicL. Hurtado
46′J. PonceM. Rodriguez
46′D. CarterJ. Castrillo
61′B. Santos
64′D. SuazoM. Santos
64′G. WelcomeJ. Brooks
68′N. Amarilla
79′N. AmarillaM. Arzu
89′D. Osorio

Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes

Platense FC 40%
Draw 28%
Lobos Upnfm 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatense FCDrawLobos Upnfm
Model39.3%29.7%31.0%
Market40.7%28.0%31.3%
Final40.3%28.5%31.2%
Edge-1.3%+1.6%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense FC ↓ / Lobos Upnfm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Platense FC and Lobos Upnfm expected goals

Platense FC 1.32
Lobos Upnfm 1.14

Total expected goals: 2.46

Platense FC and Lobos Upnfm attack and defence ratings

Platense FC

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Lobos Upnfm

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm: result vs prediction

Platense FC 0 – 2 Lobos Upnfm

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Platense FC 40.3% 2.48 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense FC40.3%
Draw28.5%
Lobos Upnfm31.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.2%
No48.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)59.7%
Handicap -1Platense FC win18.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-010.0%
0-09.8%

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm stats

Platense FC and Lobos Upnfm recent form

newest first
Platense FC DLWLLD
Lobos Upnfm WLLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense FC and Lobos Upnfm going into this match

league record before kick-off

Platense FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lobos Upnfm record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Platense FC wins 3Draws 3Lobos Upnfm wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Platense FCLobos UpnfmHonduras Liga Nacional4-1
2026-02-26Lobos UpnfmPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2025-10-18Lobos UpnfmPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional1-1
2025-08-10Platense FCLobos UpnfmHonduras Liga Nacional4-1
2022-04-03Platense FCLobos UpnfmLiga Nacional1-0
2022-02-10Lobos UpnfmPlatense FCLiga Nacional1-2
2021-09-26Platense FCLobos UpnfmLiga Nacional2-3
2021-08-22Lobos UpnfmPlatense FCLiga Nacional3-0
2021-04-18Lobos UpnfmPlatense FCLiga Nacional0-0
2020-11-30Platense FCLobos UpnfmLiga Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 28.0%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.20 3.18 2.95
Bet365 2.15 3.50 2.70
BetVictor 2.20 3.25 3.00
Betano 2.27 3.20 2.82
Betfair 2.20 3.30 2.80
Marathonbet 2.18 3.18 2.88
Pinnacle 2.22 3.10 2.84
William Hill 2.25 3.00 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.21
X 3.19 ▲ +0.11
2 2.86 ▲ +0.23

8 snapshots recorded, from .