Honduras Liga Nacional Β· Β·Apertura - 9

Platense FC vs Juticalpa

Garuda Lions Prediction: Platense FC

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes

Platense FC 47%
Draw 27%
Juticalpa 26%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Platense FC wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Platense FC vs Juticalpa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense FC vs Juticalpa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatense FCDrawJuticalpa
Model39.2%26.9%33.8%
Market49.2%26.8%24.0%
Final46.7%26.8%26.5%
Edge-10.0%+0.1%+9.8%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Platense FC vs Juticalpa match preview

Platense FC faces Juticalpa in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a slight edge for the home side, with a 46% chance of victory compared to 27% for both a draw and an away win. The expected goals for Platense FC stand at 1.52, while Juticalpa is forecasted at 1.40. Recent form shows Platense FC struggling with two losses in their last three matches, while Juticalpa has also been inconsistent, alternating between wins and losses.

The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Platense FC, with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% probability that both teams will score. In their last ten encounters, Platense FC has secured one win, while Juticalpa has won three times, with six matches ending in draws.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense FC ↓ / Juticalpa β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Platense FC and Juticalpa expected goals

Platense FC 1.52
Juticalpa 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.92

Platense FC and Juticalpa attack and defence ratings

Platense FC

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Juticalpa

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Platense FC vs Juticalpa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Platense FC 46.7% 2.14 -10.0% 1.91
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.65 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense FC46.7%
Draw26.8%
Juticalpa26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)53.3%
Handicap -1Platense FC win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

Platense FC vs Juticalpa stats

Platense FC and Juticalpa recent form

newest first
Platense FC LDLWLL
Juticalpa WLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense FC and Juticalpa season so far

league record

Platense FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juticalpa record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Platense FC vs Juticalpa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Platense FC wins 6Draws 3Juticalpa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-16JuticalpaPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional1-1
2026-02-22Platense FCJuticalpaHonduras Liga Nacional4-0
2025-09-28Platense FCJuticalpaHonduras Liga Nacional1-1
2025-07-30JuticalpaPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2019-04-15JuticalpaPlatense FCLiga Nacional2-0
2019-02-17Platense FCJuticalpaLiga Nacional1-1
2018-11-11Platense FCJuticalpaLiga Nacional0-0
2018-09-13JuticalpaPlatense FCLiga Nacional1-1
2018-03-11JuticalpaPlatense FCLiga Nacional3-1
2018-01-28Platense FCJuticalpaLiga Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense FC vs Juticalpa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 26.8%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.36 3.78
Bet365 1.83 3.30 3.75
BetVictor 1.83 3.40 3.90
Betano 1.87 3.25 3.75
Betfair 1.80 3.50 3.80
Dafabet 1.88 3.45 3.85
Marathonbet 1.81 3.36 3.68
Pinnacle 1.81 3.30 3.68
William Hill 1.91 3.10 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 β–Ό -0.04
X 3.36 β–² +0.11
2 3.75 β–² +0.07

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Platense FC Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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