Olancho
vs
Atletico Independiente
1 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | O. Almendarez | ||
| 24′ | D. Herrera | ||
| 47′ | A. Ramirez | ||
| 49′ | D. Llorente | ||
| 58′ | F. J. Escoto PinedaC. S. Oscar Adonay | ||
| 58′ | F. YanezS. Cruz | ||
| 63′ | H. Gomez | ||
| 66′ | Y. A. CabreraY. Banegas | ||
| 67′ | J. BengtsonM. Antunez | ||
| 70′ | D. LlorenteL. Melendez | ||
| 76′ | L. Melendez | ||
| 77′ | M. R. Ramirez ArauzC. Suazo | ||
| 80′ | M. TecheraE. Luna | ||
| 83′ | J. DelgadoJoanderson |
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olancho vs Atletico Independiente
| Probability | Olancho | Draw | Atletico Independiente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 35.5% | 22.4% |
| Market | 64.9% | 20.0% | 15.1% |
| Final | 59.2% | 23.8% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +3.9% | +1.8% |
Why Olancho
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.69.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olancho and Atletico Independiente expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.73
Olancho and Atletico Independiente attack and defence ratings
Olancho
Atletico Independiente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente: result vs prediction
Olancho 1 – 1 Atletico Independiente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 59.2% | 1.69 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 59.2% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Atletico Independiente | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.3% |
| No | 66.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olancho win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.1% |
| 1-0 | 17.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente stats
Olancho and Atletico Independiente recent form
| Olancho |
DDDLDW |
| Atletico Independiente |
LWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olancho and Atletico Independiente going into this match
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Independiente record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.9%, draw 20.0%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.55 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.55 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .