Génesis
vs
CD Olimpia
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Génesis vs CD Olimpia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Génesis vs CD Olimpia
| Probability | Génesis | Draw | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 30.1% | 38.3% |
| Market | 22.3% | 27.0% | 50.7% |
| Final | 24.6% | 27.8% | 47.6% |
| Edge | +9.3% | +3.1% | -12.4% |
Why CD Olimpia
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.86, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Génesis vs CD Olimpia match preview
Génesis faces CD Olimpia in the upcoming Liga Nacional match, where the probabilities favor the visitors with a 46% chance of winning compared to Génesis at 26%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% chance, while the expected goals suggest Génesis will score 1.14 and CD Olimpia 1.27.
Recent form shows Génesis with mixed results, recording two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while CD Olimpia has been more consistent with three wins, two draws, and one loss. In their last four encounters, CD Olimpia has dominated with three victories over Génesis, who has only managed one win. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Génesis and CD Olimpia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Génesis and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings
Génesis
CD Olimpia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Génesis vs CD Olimpia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 47.6% | 2.10 | -12.4% | 1.86 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Génesis | 24.6% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| CD Olimpia | 47.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.3% | |
| 0-1 | 10.1% |
Génesis vs CD Olimpia stats
Génesis and CD Olimpia recent form
| Génesis |
DLWLDW |
| CD Olimpia |
WLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Génesis and CD Olimpia season so far
Génesis record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Génesis vs CD Olimpia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Génesis | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-26 | CD Olimpia | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Génesis | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 6-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | CD Olimpia | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-04 | CD Olimpia | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Génesis | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-29 | CD Olimpia | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-07-28 | Génesis | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2024-03-10 | CD Olimpia | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Génesis | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Génesis vs CD Olimpia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.3%, draw 27.0%, away 50.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.09 | 3.30 | 1.78 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.35 | 1.86 |
| Marathonbet | 3.98 | 3.30 | 1.76 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .