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Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 9

Génesis vs CD Olimpia

0 – 1 Full time

10′Y. Arboleda
12′M. Gamboa
36′Gabriel Araujo
36′R. Sander
42′D. Flores
50′C. Bennett
59′I. Enriquez
62′K. Guity
63′E. Alderete
67′A. Vargas
79′C. Canales
80′E. Rodriguez

Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz

Génesis 26%
Draw 28%
CD Olimpia 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Génesis vs CD Olimpia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Génesis vs CD Olimpia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGénesisDrawCD Olimpia
Model31.6%30.1%38.2%
Market23.8%27.4%48.8%
Final25.7%28.1%46.2%
Edge+2.0%+0.7%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why CD Olimpia

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Génesis ↓ / CD Olimpia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Génesis and CD Olimpia expected goals

Génesis 1.14
CD Olimpia 1.27

Total expected goals: 2.41

Génesis and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings

Génesis

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.69 -31%

CD Olimpia

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Génesis vs CD Olimpia: result vs prediction

Génesis 0 – 1 CD Olimpia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Génesis vs CD Olimpia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Olimpia 46.2% 2.16 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.8% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Génesis25.7%
Draw28.1%
CD Olimpia46.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.2%
No49.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.8%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1CD Olimpia win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss61.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.3%
0-110.1%

Génesis vs CD Olimpia stats

Génesis and CD Olimpia recent form

newest first
Génesis DLWLDW
CD Olimpia WLWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Génesis and CD Olimpia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Génesis record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CD Olimpia record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Génesis vs CD Olimpia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Génesis wins 2Draws 7CD Olimpia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15GénesisCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional0-2
2026-01-26CD OlimpiaGénesisHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2025-11-09GénesisCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional6-2
2025-09-13CD OlimpiaGénesisHonduras Liga Nacional3-2
2025-05-04CD OlimpiaGénesisLiga Nacional4-0
2025-03-02GénesisCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional1-1
2024-09-29CD OlimpiaGénesisLiga Nacional4-0
2024-07-28GénesisCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional0-3
2024-03-10CD OlimpiaGénesisLiga Nacional4-0
2024-01-21GénesisCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Génesis vs CD Olimpia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.8%, draw 27.4%, away 48.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.84 3.30 1.83
Bet365 3.60 3.40 1.85
Betano 3.80 3.30 1.85
Betfair 3.80 3.30 1.85
Dafabet 4.10 3.30 1.88
Marathonbet 3.74 3.30 1.81
Pinnacle 3.84 3.10 1.84

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.80 ▲ +0.02
X 3.30 ▲ +0.08
2 1.85 —

8 snapshots recorded, from .