CD Olimpia
vs
Real Espana
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
| Probability | CD Olimpia | Draw | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.2% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.13.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana match preview
CD Olimpia faces Real Espana in a matchup where the model gives CD Olimpia a 43% chance of winning, while Real Espana has a 28% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of CD Olimpia, with an expected goals figure of 1.45 for them and 1.13 for Real Espana. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 48%, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 53%.
In terms of recent form, CD Olimpia has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. Conversely, Real Espana has shown a stronger performance with four wins, two draws, and no losses in their last six outings. Historically, in their last eight encounters, CD Olimpia has secured four victories, while Real Espana has won twice. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Olimpia and Real Espana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
CD Olimpia and Real Espana attack and defence ratings
CD Olimpia
Real Espana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 43.2% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Real Espana | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.0% |
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana stats
CD Olimpia and Real Espana recent form
| CD Olimpia |
WLWDDW |
| Real Espana |
WDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Olimpia and Real Espana season so far
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Espana record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | CD Olimpia | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2026-03-08 | CD Olimpia | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | CD Olimpia | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | CD Olimpia | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Real Espana | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.