Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 10

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana

2 – 1 Full time

14′N. Dibble
27′L. LopezR. Lopez
36′K. Pena
42′N. Dibble
44′J. Benguche
45′E. Hernandez
55′N. Dibble
61′J. RamosD. Vuelto
61′M. AceitunoD. Cacho
63′K. PenaY. Arboleda
63′R. GarciaJ. Jean-Baptiste
64′R. Osorto
68′N. DibbleB. Cortes
69′D. Vuelto
72′J. Jean-Baptiste
77′R. OsortoD. Aparicio
77′A. GarciaD. Sayago
81′J. BengucheD. Flores
81′J. AlvarezA. Maldonado
85′E. Menjivar
87′C. Bennett
88′D. Aparicio
90′D. Sayago

Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa

CD Olimpia 46%
Draw 28%
Real Espana 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CD Olimpia vs Real Espana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCD OlimpiaDrawReal Espana
Model41.9%30.7%27.3%
Market47.5%27.1%25.4%
Final46.1%28.0%25.9%
Edge-1.4%+0.9%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CD Olimpia ↓ / Real Espana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

CD Olimpia and Real Espana expected goals

CD Olimpia 1.29
Real Espana 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.28

CD Olimpia and Real Espana attack and defence ratings

CD Olimpia

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Real Espana

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana: result vs prediction

CD Olimpia 2 – 1 Real Espana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Olimpia 46.1% 2.17 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CD Olimpia46.1%
Draw28.0%
Real Espana25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.8%
Under 2.560.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)53.9%
Handicap -1CD Olimpia win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.9%
0-011.6%

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana stats

CD Olimpia and Real Espana recent form

newest first
CD Olimpia WWLWDD
Real Espana WWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CD Olimpia and Real Espana going into this match

league record before kick-off

CD Olimpia record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Espana record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6CD Olimpia wins 2Draws 2Real Espana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-13CD OlimpiaReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional3-2
2026-05-10Real EspanaCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional3-1
2026-04-26Real EspanaCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional3-2
2026-03-08CD OlimpiaReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional1-1
2025-12-28CD OlimpiaReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional1-0
2025-12-11Real EspanaCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional0-1
2025-10-26CD OlimpiaReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional2-1
2025-08-17Real EspanaCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional0-0
2025-05-25CD OlimpiaReal EspanaLiga Nacional4-1
2025-05-23Real EspanaCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CD Olimpia vs Real Espana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 27.1%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.89 3.34 3.57
Bet365 1.85 3.30 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 3.40 3.60
Betano 1.95 3.25 3.45
Betfair 1.90 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 1.95 3.40 3.65
Marathonbet 1.87 3.34 3.48
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 —
X 3.32 —
2 3.54 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .