Juticalpa
vs
Atlético Choloma
Garuda Lions Prediction: Juticalpa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma
| Probability | Juticalpa | Draw | Atlético Choloma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 28.2% | 40.7% |
| Market | 38.0% | 27.8% | 34.3% |
| Final | 36.3% | 27.9% | 35.9% |
| Edge | -6.9% | +0.5% | +6.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma match preview
Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma are set to clash in the Honduras Liga Nacional, with Juticalpa holding a 39% probability of winning compared to Atlético Choloma's 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Juticalpa, with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals indicate a close contest, with Juticalpa at 1.24 and Atlético Choloma at 1.44.
In terms of recent form, Juticalpa has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Atlético Choloma has achieved two wins, one draw, and three losses. Historically, Juticalpa has been dominant in their last four encounters, securing two wins and two draws against Atlético Choloma, who has yet to win in this matchup. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 50%, and both teams scoring is projected at 55%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma attack and defence ratings
Juticalpa
Atlético Choloma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juticalpa | 36.3% | 2.76 | -6.9% | 2.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juticalpa | 36.3% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Atlético Choloma | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juticalpa win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 68.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma stats
Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma recent form
| Juticalpa |
LWLLWL |
| Atlético Choloma |
LWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma season so far
Juticalpa record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Atlético Choloma record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Atlético Choloma | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Juticalpa | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Atlético Choloma | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Juticalpa | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 27.4%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.22 | 2.61 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.22 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .