CD Marathon
vs
Olancho
2 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | D. Ramirez | ||
| 7′ | N. Messiniti | ||
| 13′ | N. Messiniti | ||
| 28′ | Y. A. CabreraS. Pozantes | ||
| 45′ | H. Gomez | ||
| 46′ | J. DelgadoM. Antunez | ||
| 46′ | H. GomezD. Martinez | ||
| 46′ | M. R. Ramirez ArauzO. Padilla | ||
| 65′ | S. Pozantes | ||
| 67′ | J. Lasso | ||
| 73′ | N. MessinitiA. Elis | ||
| 74′ | C. ArguetaC. Perez | ||
| 75′ | O. Padilla | ||
| 77′ | S. Pozantes | ||
| 83′ | D. RodriguezC. J. Zuniga Bernardez | ||
| 85′ | Y. MejiaJ. Aguilera | ||
| 85′ | D. RamirezJ. Bueso | ||
| 88′ | T. A. Sorto CaballeroI. Castillo |
CD Marathon vs Olancho overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Marathon vs Olancho
| Probability | CD Marathon | Draw | Olancho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 35.1% | 16.8% |
| Market | 54.8% | 25.1% | 20.1% |
| Final | 53.1% | 27.6% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +2.5% | -0.8% |
Why CD Marathon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Marathon and Olancho expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
CD Marathon and Olancho attack and defence ratings
CD Marathon
Olancho
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CD Marathon vs Olancho: result vs prediction
CD Marathon 2 – 1 Olancho
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Marathon vs Olancho markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 53.1% | 1.88 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 53.1% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Olancho | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.6% |
| 1-0 | 20.2% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
CD Marathon vs Olancho stats
CD Marathon and Olancho recent form
| CD Marathon |
DLWWWD |
| Olancho |
DDDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Marathon and Olancho going into this match
CD Marathon record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Marathon vs Olancho head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | CD Marathon | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Olancho | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | CD Marathon | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Olancho | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | CD Marathon | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Olancho | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Olancho | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-14 | CD Marathon | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-09 | CD Marathon | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-05 | Olancho | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CD Marathon vs Olancho odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 25.1%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.60 | 4.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.58 | 4.28 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .