Lobos Upnfm
vs
CD Olimpia
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia
| Probability | Lobos Upnfm | Draw | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.9% | 29.3% | 46.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.9% | 29.3% | 46.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia match preview
Lobos Upnfm faces CD Olimpia in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for the visitors. CD Olimpia has a 47% chance of winning, compared to Lobos Upnfm's 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Both teams have a near-equal chance of scoring, with 48% likelihood for both teams to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Lobos Upnfm has recorded three wins, a draw, and two losses in their last six matches, while CD Olimpia has achieved four wins, one loss, and one draw in the same timeframe. The expected goals suggest Lobos Upnfm will generate 0.96, while CD Olimpia is forecasted to score 1.43, further emphasizing the visitors' offensive edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lobos Upnfm and CD Olimpia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Lobos Upnfm and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings
Lobos Upnfm
CD Olimpia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lobos Upnfm | 23.9% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| CD Olimpia | 46.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia stats
Lobos Upnfm and CD Olimpia recent form
| Lobos Upnfm |
WDWWLL |
| CD Olimpia |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lobos Upnfm and CD Olimpia season so far
Lobos Upnfm record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | CD Olimpia | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-02 | CD Olimpia | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Lobos Upnfm | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Lobos Upnfm | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | CD Olimpia | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.