Atlético Choloma
vs
CD Olimpia
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.00.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia
| Probability | Atlético Choloma | Draw | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.4% | 28.8% | 46.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.4% | 28.8% | 46.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia match preview
In the upcoming match between Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with CD Olimpia favored at 48% to win, while Atlético Choloma stands at 24% and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams are showing decent form, with Atlético Choloma recording two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while CD Olimpia has three wins and a draw in the same timeframe.
Statistically, Atlético Choloma is expected to score 1.06 goals, while CD Olimpia is projected to net 1.59. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49%, and both teams scoring is projected at 53%. Historically, CD Olimpia has dominated their recent head-to-head encounters, winning all four of the last matches against Atlético Choloma.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings
Atlético Choloma
CD Olimpia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 24.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| CD Olimpia | 46.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia stats
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia recent form
| Atlético Choloma |
WWLWLD |
| CD Olimpia |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlético Choloma and CD Olimpia season so far
Atlético Choloma record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Atlético Choloma | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2026-02-26 | CD Olimpia | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CD Olimpia | Atlético Choloma | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Atlético Choloma | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-7 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.