Real Espana
vs
Juticalpa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Espana
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.80.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Espana vs Juticalpa
| Probability | Real Espana | Draw | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.2% | 18.1% | 9.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.2% | 18.1% | 9.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real Espana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa match preview
Real Espana is favored to win against Juticalpa, with a 72% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Real Espana stand at 2.46, while Juticalpa is projected to score 0.86. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 53% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Real Espana has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Juticalpa has struggled with two wins and three losses in the same period. Historically, in their last four encounters, Real Espana has not secured a win, with two draws and two losses against Juticalpa. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Espana and Juticalpa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Real Espana and Juticalpa attack and defence ratings
Real Espana
Juticalpa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Espana vs Juticalpa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Espana | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Espana win | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Espana | 72.2% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Juticalpa | 9.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Espana win | 50.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 27.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.8% |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.4% |
Real Espana vs Juticalpa stats
Real Espana and Juticalpa recent form
| Real Espana |
WLWWDW |
| Juticalpa |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Espana and Juticalpa season so far
Real Espana record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Real Espana vs Juticalpa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Real Espana | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Juticalpa | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Juticalpa | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 4-3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Real Espana | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.