CD Olimpia
vs
Juticalpa
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 0.64.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa
| Probability | CD Olimpia | Draw | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.7% | 15.0% | 6.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 78.7% | 15.0% | 6.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa match preview
CD Olimpia enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 79%, while Juticalpa stands at just 6%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 13% chance of occurring. CD Olimpia's expected goals are significantly higher at 2.60 compared to Juticalpa's 0.64, indicating a clear offensive advantage.
Recent form shows CD Olimpia with four wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Juticalpa has struggled, recording four losses and only one win in the same timeframe. In their last five encounters, CD Olimpia has dominated with three wins and two draws against Juticalpa, who has yet to secure a victory. The model suggests a 63% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 44% likelihood for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa attack and defence ratings
CD Olimpia
Juticalpa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 78.7% |
| Draw | 15.0% | |
| Juticalpa | 6.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 58.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 21.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.2% |
| 3-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa stats
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa recent form
| CD Olimpia |
WWWWLW |
| Juticalpa |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa season so far
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Juticalpa | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-23 | Juticalpa | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-6 |
| 2026-02-01 | CD Olimpia | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Juticalpa | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | CD Olimpia | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.