Olancho
vs
Lobos Upnfm
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olancho
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm
| Probability | Olancho | Draw | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 33.7% | 31.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.9% | 33.7% | 31.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm match preview
Olancho and Lobos Upnfm are set to face off in a closely contested match, with probabilities indicating a slight edge for Olancho at 35%, while Lobos Upnfm stands at 31%, and a draw is at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Olancho, with an expected goals metric showing Olancho at 1.02 and Lobos Upnfm at 0.95. Recent form reveals Olancho struggling with six games without a win, while Lobos Upnfm has shown more resilience with two wins in their last five matches.
In their last five encounters, Olancho has yet to secure a win against Lobos Upnfm, recording four draws and one loss. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 32%, and both teams to score sits at 41%, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olancho and Lobos Upnfm expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
Olancho and Lobos Upnfm attack and defence ratings
Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 34.9% |
| Draw | 33.7% | |
| Lobos Upnfm | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olancho win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.8% |
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm stats
Olancho and Lobos Upnfm recent form
| Olancho |
DLDDDD |
| Lobos Upnfm |
LWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olancho and Lobos Upnfm season so far
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lobos Upnfm record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Lobos Upnfm | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Lobos Upnfm | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Olancho | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Olancho | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Lobos Upnfm | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.