CD Marathon
vs
Platense FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Marathon
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.80.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Marathon vs Platense FC
| Probability | CD Marathon | Draw | Platense FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.0% | 18.2% | 9.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.0% | 18.2% | 9.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CD Marathon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC match preview
CD Marathon enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 72%, reflecting their recent form of D-W-D-L-W-W. The expected goals for CD Marathon stand at 2.40, while Platense FC is projected to score only 0.80 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 12% chance of occurring.
In contrast, Platense FC has struggled recently, with a form record of L-L-W-L-D-L. Their chances of winning are just 10%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is at 51%. Historically, in their last seven encounters, CD Marathon has secured 2 wins, while Platense FC has 1 win and there have been 4 draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Marathon and Platense FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
CD Marathon and Platense FC attack and defence ratings
CD Marathon
Platense FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Marathon vs Platense FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 72.0% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Platense FC | 9.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 50.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 28.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 9.4% |
CD Marathon vs Platense FC stats
CD Marathon and Platense FC recent form
| CD Marathon |
DWDLWW |
| Platense FC |
LLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Marathon and Platense FC season so far
CD Marathon record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense FC record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Platense FC | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Platense FC | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-13 | CD Marathon | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Platense FC | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-19 | CD Marathon | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | CD Marathon | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Platense FC | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.