CD Olimpia
vs
Olancho
Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Olimpia
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.63.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CD Olimpia is the favourite, not a value bet.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Olimpia vs Olancho
| Probability | CD Olimpia | Draw | Olancho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.1% | 19.4% | 8.6% |
| Market | 69.1% | 20.0% | 11.0% |
| Final | 69.8% | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.7% per unit staked (our 69.8% × 1.35 − 1).
CD Olimpia vs Olancho match preview
CD Olimpia enters the match against Olancho with a strong recent form, having won their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.16, indicating a solid offensive capability. In contrast, Olancho has struggled, with a recent record of two wins, three draws, and one loss, leading to an expected goals figure of just 0.63.
The head-to-head record shows that in their last five encounters, there have been no wins for either team, with all matches ending in draws. According to our model, CD Olimpia has a 72% probability of winning, while Olancho has only a 9% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of CD Olimpia, with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Olimpia and Olancho expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
CD Olimpia and Olancho attack and defence ratings
CD Olimpia
Olancho
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Olimpia vs Olancho markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 69.8% | 1.43 | +0.7% | 1.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 69.8% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Olancho | 10.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 27.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 3-0 | 10.4% |
CD Olimpia vs Olancho stats
CD Olimpia and Olancho recent form
| CD Olimpia |
WWWWWW |
| Olancho |
DWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Olimpia and Olancho season so far
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 10 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-18 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-18 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-03 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-02 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-12 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.1%, draw 20.0%, away 11.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.45 | 8.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 4.50 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 4.90 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 4.45 | 8.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .