Génesis
vs
Olancho
0 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | D. Melendez | ||
| 32′ | D. Martinez | ||
| 46′ | D. MartinezJ. Delgado | ||
| 46′ | Y. A. CabreraM. R. Ramirez Arauz | ||
| 46′ | D. T. Hydes RiveraD. Andino | ||
| 46′ | J. FigueroaB. Felix | ||
| 62′ | S. PozantesM. Antunez | ||
| 64′ | A. AlvaradoM. Solano | ||
| 65′ | W. MartinezR. Sander | ||
| 80′ | H. GomezJoanderson | ||
| 84′ | E. AldereteC. I. Arzu Zapata | ||
| 87′ | N. Munoz |
Génesis vs Olancho overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Génesis vs Olancho
| Probability | Génesis | Draw | Olancho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 33.6% | 20.3% |
| Market | 36.5% | 29.7% | 33.8% |
| Final | 38.9% | 30.7% | 30.4% |
| Edge | +9.6% | +3.9% | -13.4% |
Why Génesis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Génesis below the model: +9.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Génesis and Olancho expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Génesis and Olancho attack and defence ratings
Génesis
Olancho
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Génesis vs Olancho: result vs prediction
Génesis 0 – 0 Olancho
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Génesis vs Olancho markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Génesis | 38.9% | 2.57 | +9.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Génesis | 38.9% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Olancho | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.2% |
| No | 64.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Génesis win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.1% |
| 0-0 | 17.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Génesis vs Olancho stats
Génesis and Olancho recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Génesis and Olancho going into this match
Génesis record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Génesis vs Olancho head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Génesis | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Olancho | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Olancho | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-11 | Génesis | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Olancho | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Génesis | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Génesis | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 3-3 |
| 2025-02-08 | Olancho | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-07 | Génesis | Olancho | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Olancho | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Génesis vs Olancho odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 29.7%, away 33.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.00 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.00 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 2.95 | 2.63 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .