Atlético Choloma
vs
Estrella Roja
2 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | J. Capeluto | ||
| 20′ | R. Mayorquin | ||
| 33′ | K. AlvarezO. Zamora | ||
| 41′ | E. Rizo | ||
| 43′ | R. Mayorquin | ||
| 43′ | R. Mayorquin | ||
| 46′ | J. VelasquezP. Gonzalez | ||
| 46′ | E. RizoD. Duron | ||
| 54′ | J. Quejada | ||
| 58′ | A. FajardoI. Arias | ||
| 60′ | J. GutierrezF. Lopez | ||
| 60′ | N. LunaE. Munguia | ||
| 62′ | E. Florez | ||
| 74′ | C. CalixM. Garcia | ||
| 75′ | J. Pineda | ||
| 79′ | O. ZamoraC. Ramirez | ||
| 84′ | A. Villatoro | ||
| 84′ | J. Padilla | ||
| 89′ | L. Ferreira | ||
| 90′ | L. Juarez |
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja
| Probability | Atlético Choloma | Draw | Estrella Roja |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 26.0% | 37.3% |
| Market | 36.7% | 27.8% | 35.5% |
| Final | 36.7% | 27.4% | 35.9% |
| Edge | +0.0% | -1.8% | +1.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja attack and defence ratings
Atlético Choloma
Estrella Roja
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja: result vs prediction
Atlético Choloma 2 – 0 Estrella Roja
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 36.7% | 2.73 | +0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Choloma | 36.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Estrella Roja | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlético Choloma win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja stats
Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja recent form
| Atlético Choloma |
LDLWLL |
| Estrella Roja |
DLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja going into this match
Atlético Choloma record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estrella Roja record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 27.8%, away 35.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.20 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.20 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .