Juticalpa
vs
CD Marathon
3 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | O. Barrios | ||
| 8′ | C. Sacaza | ||
| 18′ | C. Sacaza | ||
| 24′ | C. Argueta | ||
| 39′ | J. Padilla | ||
| 45′ | O. Barrios | ||
| 46′ | N. GaboriellK. Kelly | ||
| 46′ | O. BarriosK. Matute | ||
| 48′ | S. Agurcia | ||
| 50′ | J. Velasquez | ||
| 65′ | C. PerezY. Mejia | ||
| 65′ | C. ArguetaA. Elis | ||
| 67′ | C. RochezM. Canales | ||
| 69′ | J. RochezY. Delgadillo | ||
| 70′ | K. Kelly | ||
| 74′ | H. Figueroa | ||
| 74′ | D. Ramirez | ||
| 78′ | J. PadillaD. Monico | ||
| 81′ | J. Aguilera | ||
| 85′ | J. Velasquez | ||
| 88′ | Y. Moreno |
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juticalpa vs CD Marathon
| Probability | Juticalpa | Draw | CD Marathon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.6% | 23.2% | 67.2% |
| Market | 12.5% | 22.6% | 64.9% |
| Final | 11.8% | 22.7% | 65.5% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
Why CD Marathon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices CD Marathon below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juticalpa and CD Marathon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Juticalpa and CD Marathon attack and defence ratings
Juticalpa
CD Marathon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon: result vs prediction
Juticalpa 3 – 2 CD Marathon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 65.5% | 1.53 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juticalpa | 11.8% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| CD Marathon | 65.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.0% |
| 0-2 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.3% |
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon stats
Juticalpa and CD Marathon recent form
| Juticalpa |
LLWLLL |
| CD Marathon |
WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juticalpa and CD Marathon going into this match
Juticalpa record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
CD Marathon record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Juticalpa | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-4 |
| 2026-01-29 | CD Marathon | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Juticalpa | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | CD Marathon | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 7-0 |
| 2025-03-06 | CD Marathon | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Juticalpa | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Juticalpa | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | CD Marathon | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2019-03-30 | CD Marathon | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2019-02-03 | Juticalpa | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.5%, draw 22.6%, away 64.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.85 | 3.90 | 1.38 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 3.75 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 3.90 | 1.37 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .