Real Espana
vs
CD Motagua
1 – 0 Full time
| 50′ | J. BenavidezN. Cruz | ||
| 55′ | J. Lopez | ||
| 55′ | F. Flores | ||
| 61′ | D. SayagoD. Vuelto | ||
| 64′ | R. De OliveraJ. Moya | ||
| 71′ | D. MelendezJ. Garcia | ||
| 78′ | A. Reyes | ||
| 80′ | N. Cruz | ||
| 86′ | O. Discua | ||
| 86′ | J. MaciasR. Gomez | ||
| 86′ | J. BatizA. Barrios | ||
| 86′ | D. CachoJ. Ramos | ||
| 86′ | A. GarciaD. Aparicio |
Real Espana vs CD Motagua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Espana vs CD Motagua
| Probability | Real Espana | Draw | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 31.1% | 26.0% |
| Market | 40.7% | 28.5% | 30.8% |
| Final | 41.2% | 29.1% | 29.6% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +2.6% | -4.9% |
Why Real Espana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.94.
- The market prices Real Espana below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Espana and CD Motagua expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Real Espana and CD Motagua attack and defence ratings
Real Espana
CD Motagua
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Espana vs CD Motagua: result vs prediction
Real Espana 1 – 0 CD Motagua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Espana vs CD Motagua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Espana | 41.2% | 2.43 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Espana | 41.2% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| CD Motagua | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Espana win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Real Espana vs CD Motagua stats
Real Espana and CD Motagua recent form
| Real Espana |
DWWDDW |
| CD Motagua |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Espana and CD Motagua going into this match
Real Espana record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Motagua record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Espana vs CD Motagua head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CD Motagua | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Espana | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-24 | Real Espana | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | CD Motagua | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-24 | Real Espana | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-01 | CD Motagua | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Real Espana | CD Motagua | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-15 | CD Motagua | Real Espana | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | CD Motagua | Real Espana | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Real Espana | CD Motagua | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Espana vs CD Motagua odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 28.3%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.14 | 2.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.14 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.09 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .