CD Motagua
vs
Génesis
1 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | C. PalmaO. Discua | ||
| 46′ | R. GomezA. Reyes | ||
| 46′ | G. SacazaJ. Portillo | ||
| 46′ | C. MelendezJ. Macias | ||
| 67′ | A. BarriosR. De Olivera | ||
| 70′ | J. FigueroaB. Felix | ||
| 79′ | J. Macias | ||
| 80′ | R. De Olivera | ||
| 90′ | A. Vargas | ||
| 90′ | R. SanderW. Martinez | ||
| 90′ | D. MelendezC. I. Arzu Zapata | ||
| 90′ | D. Nunez |
CD Motagua vs Génesis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Motagua vs Génesis
| Probability | CD Motagua | Draw | Génesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 31.2% | 32.6% |
| Market | 57.3% | 24.2% | 18.4% |
| Final | 52.0% | 26.0% | 22.0% |
| Edge | -21.2% | +7.0% | +14.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CD Motagua and Génesis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
CD Motagua and Génesis attack and defence ratings
CD Motagua
Génesis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CD Motagua vs Génesis: result vs prediction
CD Motagua 1 – 0 Génesis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Motagua vs Génesis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Motagua | 52.0% | 1.92 | -21.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Motagua | 52.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Génesis | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Motagua win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
CD Motagua vs Génesis stats
CD Motagua and Génesis recent form
| CD Motagua |
DWWLLW |
| Génesis |
WLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Motagua and Génesis going into this match
CD Motagua record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Génesis record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
CD Motagua vs Génesis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | CD Motagua | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Génesis | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | CD Motagua | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Génesis | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-5 |
| 2025-10-05 | CD Motagua | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 4-3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Génesis | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | CD Motagua | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Génesis | CD Motagua | Liga Nacional | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-03 | CD Motagua | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-02-03 | Génesis | CD Motagua | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CD Motagua vs Génesis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.3%, draw 24.2%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.13 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.58 | 4.63 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .