Juticalpa
vs
Génesis
0 – 3 Full time
| 28′ | J. Figueroa | ||
| 51′ | E. Maldonado | ||
| 53′ | J. Figueroa | ||
| 57′ | K. KellyL. Casildo | ||
| 57′ | C. RochezJ. Padilla | ||
| 57′ | B. ChavezD. Monico | ||
| 58′ | O. Barrios | ||
| 70′ | A. GomezW. Quaye | ||
| 74′ | J. FigueroaB. Felix | ||
| 81′ | R. SanderW. Martinez | ||
| 83′ | Gabriel Araujo | ||
| 85′ | M. NunezN. Gaboriell | ||
| 87′ | E. AldereteC. I. Arzu Zapata | ||
| 87′ | D. NunezJ. Lacayo |
Juticalpa vs Génesis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juticalpa vs Génesis
| Probability | Juticalpa | Draw | Génesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.2% | 26.0% | 55.8% |
| Market | 25.7% | 28.3% | 45.9% |
| Final | 23.9% | 27.7% | 48.4% |
| Edge | -7.5% | -2.3% | +9.8% |
Why Génesis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.90.
- The market prices Génesis below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juticalpa and Génesis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Juticalpa and Génesis attack and defence ratings
Juticalpa
Génesis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juticalpa vs Génesis: result vs prediction
Juticalpa 0 – 3 Génesis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juticalpa vs Génesis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Génesis | 48.4% | 2.07 | +9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juticalpa | 23.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Génesis | 48.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Génesis win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-2 | 10.8% |
Juticalpa vs Génesis stats
Juticalpa and Génesis recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juticalpa and Génesis going into this match
Juticalpa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Génesis record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Juticalpa vs Génesis head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Génesis | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Juticalpa | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Génesis | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Juticalpa | Génesis | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Génesis | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Juticalpa | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Génesis | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Juticalpa | Génesis | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juticalpa vs Génesis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.4%, draw 28.0%, away 46.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.18 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.30 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.18 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.42 | 3.05 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 4.10 | 3.35 | 1.83 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.15 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .