Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 6

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC

4 – 1 Full time

6′J. Benguche
19′E. Urbina
25′J. BengucheY. Arboleda
30′Y. Arboleda
40′E. Solano
61′G. WelcomeE. Alvarez
67′K. PenaJ. Alvarez
67′I. EnriquezD. Paguada
69′Y. Arboleda
75′C. GutierrezM. Arzu
76′A. PortilloG. Canahuati
77′R. GarciaF. Garcia
77′J. Jean-BaptisteN. Dibble
78′Y. Arboleda
83′E. SolanoY. Arriola
84′M. Arzu
84′J. PalaciosA. Norales
90′A. Garcia
90′M. Salinas

Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa

CD Olimpia 68%
Draw 20%
Platense FC 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CD Olimpia vs Platense FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCD OlimpiaDrawPlatense FC
Model70.9%18.7%10.4%
Market66.9%20.6%12.5%
Final67.9%20.1%12.0%
Edge+4.0%-1.9%-2.1%

Confidence: Low

Why CD Olimpia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices CD Olimpia below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CD Olimpia ↓ / Platense FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 12% 9% 3 9% 7% 4+ 9% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

CD Olimpia and Platense FC expected goals

CD Olimpia 2.36
Platense FC 0.82

Total expected goals: 3.18

CD Olimpia and Platense FC attack and defence ratings

CD Olimpia

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Platense FC

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC: result vs prediction

CD Olimpia 4 – 1 Platense FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 6 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Olimpia 67.9% 1.47 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.0% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 CD Olimpia win 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CD Olimpia67.9%
Draw20.1%
Platense FC12.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.0%
12 (either side)79.9%
X2 (draw or away)32.1%
Handicap -1CD Olimpia win48.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss29.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.6%
2-19.5%
3-09.1%

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC stats

CD Olimpia and Platense FC recent form

newest first
CD Olimpia DDWWWL
Platense FC WLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CD Olimpia and Platense FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

CD Olimpia record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Platense FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9CD Olimpia wins 1Draws 0Platense FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01CD OlimpiaPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional4-0
2026-03-13Platense FCCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional1-2
2025-11-02Platense FCCD OlimpiaHonduras Liga Nacional0-1
2025-08-23CD OlimpiaPlatense FCHonduras Liga Nacional3-1
2022-04-14CD OlimpiaPlatense FCLiga Nacional0-0
2022-03-03Platense FCCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional0-3
2021-11-10Platense FCCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional1-4
2021-09-02CD OlimpiaPlatense FCLiga Nacional3-0
2021-04-22CD OlimpiaPlatense FCLiga Nacional5-0
2020-11-15Platense FCCD OlimpiaLiga Nacional2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CD Olimpia vs Platense FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 20.6%, away 12.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.36 4.20 7.80
1xBet 1.35 4.33 7.70
Bet365 1.38 4.50 6.25
BetVictor 1.36 4.40 7.50
Betano 1.42 4.10 6.30
Betfair 1.30 4.60 7.50
Dafabet 1.40 4.50 7.00
Marathonbet 1.32 4.45 7.70
Superbet 1.37 4.50 6.80
Unibet 1.34 4.20 6.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▲ +0.05
X 4.43 ▼ -0.10
2 7.25 ▼ -0.75

2 snapshots recorded, from .