Atletico Independiente
vs
CD Motagua
0 – 0 Full time
| 35′ | J. Macias | ||
| 58′ | A. CabreraE. Marmol | ||
| 59′ | S. EspinozaL. Melendez | ||
| 59′ | J. MaciasJ. Batiz | ||
| 59′ | A. ReyesJ. Garcia | ||
| 67′ | C. VasquezJ. Risuenho | ||
| 67′ | O. DiscuaC. Palma | ||
| 67′ | J. ArguetaC. Melendez | ||
| 73′ | V. MarinacciG. Sacaza | ||
| 81′ | D. LlorenteC. S. Oscar Adonay | ||
| 81′ | S. CruzE. Luna | ||
| 82′ | Juanfran | ||
| 84′ | R. Gomez | ||
| 90′ | L. Melendez |
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua
| Probability | Atletico Independiente | Draw | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 28.9% | 42.4% |
| Market | 24.5% | 25.7% | 49.8% |
| Final | 25.5% | 26.5% | 47.9% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +3.2% | -7.4% |
Why CD Motagua
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Independiente and CD Motagua expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Atletico Independiente and CD Motagua attack and defence ratings
Atletico Independiente
CD Motagua
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua: result vs prediction
Atletico Independiente 0 – 0 CD Motagua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Motagua | 47.9% | 2.09 | -7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Independiente | 25.5% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| CD Motagua | 47.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Motagua win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua stats
Atletico Independiente and CD Motagua recent form
| Atletico Independiente |
LDDWL |
| CD Motagua |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Atletico Independiente and CD Motagua going into this match
Atletico Independiente record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Motagua record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.5%, draw 25.7%, away 49.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.94 | 3.50 | 1.78 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.46 | 1.81 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .