Honduras Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Apertura - 5
Platense FC
vs
Atletico Independiente
2 – 1 Full time
Platense FC
21%
Draw
30%
Atletico Independiente
49%
Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente
| Probability | Platense FC | Draw | Atletico Independiente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.3% | 29.8% | 48.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.3% | 29.8% | 48.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atletico Independiente
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.84.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Platense FC and Atletico Independiente expected goals
Platense FC
0.84
Atletico Independiente
1.40
Total expected goals: 2.24
Platense FC and Atletico Independiente attack and defence ratings
Platense FC
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Atletico Independiente
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente: result vs prediction
Platense FC 2 – 1 Atletico Independiente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Independiente | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense FC | 21.3% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Atletico Independiente | 48.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Independiente win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente stats
Platense FC and Atletico Independiente recent form
| Platense FC |
LLDLLW |
| Atletico Independiente |
DDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense FC and Atletico Independiente going into this match
Platense FC record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Independiente record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.