Honduras Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Apertura - 5
Juticalpa
vs
Lobos Upnfm
1 – 0 Full time
Juticalpa
33%
Draw
27%
Lobos Upnfm
40%
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm
| Probability | Juticalpa | Draw | Lobos Upnfm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 27.2% | 39.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.0% | 27.2% | 39.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Juticalpa and Lobos Upnfm expected goals
Juticalpa
1.35
Lobos Upnfm
1.51
Total expected goals: 2.86
Juticalpa and Lobos Upnfm attack and defence ratings
Juticalpa
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Lobos Upnfm
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm: result vs prediction
Juticalpa 1 – 0 Lobos Upnfm
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lobos Upnfm | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juticalpa | 33.0% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Lobos Upnfm | 39.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lobos Upnfm win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm stats
Juticalpa and Lobos Upnfm recent form
| Juticalpa |
LLLLWL |
| Lobos Upnfm |
LDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juticalpa and Lobos Upnfm going into this match
Juticalpa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Lobos Upnfm record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Juticalpa wins
1Draws
6Lobos Upnfm wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Juticalpa | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Juticalpa | Lobos Upnfm | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-29 | Juticalpa | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Juticalpa | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2019-03-10 | Juticalpa | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2019-01-20 | Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.