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Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 5

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia

2 – 2 Full time

16′L. Juarez
20′M. Garcia
25′N. Dibble
37′R. Mayorquin
45′J. Alvarez
45′M. Garcia
46′L. JuarezJ. Lopez
46′R. MayorquinP. Gonzalez
47′N. Luna
48′Estrella Roja
51′Estrella Roja
60′D. FloresJ. Benguche
60′Y. ArboledaK. Pena
61′N. DibbleE. Rodriguez
65′O. RosalesS. Bermudez
74′E. Rizo
75′E. Rodriguez
77′D. PaguadaI. Enriquez
83′I. Enriquez
84′E. Gomez
85′N. LunaF. Lopez
88′K. Pena
90′C. CalixA. Avila
90′K. GuityF. Garcia

Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli

Estrella Roja 33%
Draw 27%
CD Olimpia 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstrella RojaDrawCD Olimpia
Model36.7%25.2%38.1%
Market31.9%27.5%40.6%
Final33.1%26.9%40.0%
Edge+4.8%-2.3%-2.5%

Confidence: Low

Why CD Olimpia

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estrella Roja ↓ / CD Olimpia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Estrella Roja and CD Olimpia expected goals

Estrella Roja 1.61
CD Olimpia 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.26

Estrella Roja and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings

Estrella Roja

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.97 -3%

CD Olimpia

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia: result vs prediction

Estrella Roja 2 – 2 CD Olimpia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 5 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Olimpia 40.0% 2.50 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.6% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estrella Roja33.1%
Draw26.9%
CD Olimpia40.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.2%
Under 2.536.8%
Both teams to scoreYes65.6%
No34.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.0%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)66.9%
Handicap -1CD Olimpia win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-28.4%
2-18.2%

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia stats

Estrella Roja and CD Olimpia recent form

newest first
Estrella Roja WDWL
CD Olimpia DWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Estrella Roja and CD Olimpia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estrella Roja record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

CD Olimpia record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Estrella Roja vs CD Olimpia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 27.5%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.00 3.40 2.15
1xBet 2.84 3.32 2.23
Bet365 2.50 3.25 2.45
BetVictor 2.88 3.30 2.25
Betano 2.87 3.20 2.22
Betfair 2.80 3.40 2.20
Dafabet 2.90 3.35 2.29
Marathonbet 2.78 3.32 2.21
Superbet 2.87 3.30 2.27
Unibet 2.55 3.20 2.28

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.