Olancho
vs
CD Olimpia
1 – 1 Full time
Olancho vs CD Olimpia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olancho vs CD Olimpia
| Probability | Olancho | Draw | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 29.7% | 42.8% |
| Market | 25.9% | 27.0% | 47.1% |
| Final | 26.3% | 27.7% | 46.0% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +2.6% | -4.3% |
Why CD Olimpia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olancho and CD Olimpia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Olancho and CD Olimpia attack and defence ratings
Olancho
CD Olimpia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olancho vs CD Olimpia: result vs prediction
Olancho 1 – 1 CD Olimpia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olancho vs CD Olimpia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 46.0% | 2.17 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olancho | 26.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| CD Olimpia | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Olancho vs CD Olimpia stats
Olancho and CD Olimpia recent form
| Olancho |
WDWDLW |
| CD Olimpia |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olancho and CD Olimpia going into this match
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Olimpia record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho vs CD Olimpia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Olancho | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-18 | CD Olimpia | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Olancho vs CD Olimpia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 27.0%, away 47.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.37 | 3.28 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.40 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.94 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.28 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 3.10 | 2.07 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .