Honduras Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Apertura - 5
CD Motagua
vs
Olancho
2 – 1 Full time
CD Motagua
42%
Draw
31%
Olancho
27%
CD Motagua vs Olancho overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CD Motagua vs Olancho
| Probability | CD Motagua | Draw | Olancho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 30.9% | 27.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.8% | 30.9% | 27.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
CD Motagua and Olancho expected goals
CD Motagua
1.27
Olancho
0.98
Total expected goals: 2.25
CD Motagua and Olancho attack and defence ratings
CD Motagua
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Olancho
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CD Motagua vs Olancho: result vs prediction
CD Motagua 2 – 1 Olancho
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
CD Motagua vs Olancho markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Motagua | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Motagua | 41.8% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Olancho | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Motagua win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
CD Motagua vs Olancho stats
CD Motagua and Olancho recent form
| CD Motagua |
WLLWDD |
| Olancho |
DWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CD Motagua and Olancho going into this match
CD Motagua record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Olancho record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CD Motagua vs Olancho head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2CD Motagua wins
2Draws
2Olancho wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Olancho | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | CD Motagua | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Olancho | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | CD Motagua | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | CD Motagua | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Olancho | CD Motagua | Honduras Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.