Garuda Lions
Today
Honduras Liga Nacional · Full time ·Apertura - 7

Olancho vs Real Espana

1 – 1 Full time

11′R. Osorto
15′D. Andino
21′D. Martinez
35′H. Gomez
51′Joanderson
63′D. Cacho
64′D. VueltoN. Cruz
68′JoandersonD. Murillo
68′D. AndinoJ. Delgado
73′E. Hernandez
76′E. HernandezD. Sayago
76′D. CachoJ. Ramos
77′D. MartinezM. Antunez
85′R. OsortoG. Ritacco
88′N. Cruz
89′G. Ritacco
89′M. R. Ramirez ArauzC. Lopez
90′D. RodriguezO. Padilla
90′O. Padilla
90′M. Pereira
90′A. Garcia
90′N. Munoz

Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa

Olancho 32%
Draw 30%
Real Espana 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olancho vs Real Espana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olancho vs Real Espana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlanchoDrawReal Espana
Model24.0%33.5%42.5%
Market35.0%29.2%35.8%
Final32.2%30.3%37.5%
Edge-11.0%+4.3%+6.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Real Espana

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Real Espana below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olancho ↓ / Real Espana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 15% 9% 1 10% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Olancho and Real Espana expected goals

Olancho 0.79
Real Espana 1.14

Total expected goals: 1.93

Olancho and Real Espana attack and defence ratings

Olancho

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Real Espana

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olancho vs Real Espana: result vs prediction

Olancho 1 – 1 Real Espana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Honduras Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Olancho vs Real Espana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Espana 37.5% 2.67 +6.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 61.6% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.7% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olancho32.2%
Draw30.3%
Real Espana37.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.4%
Under 2.569.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.4%
No61.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.5%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1Real Espana win18.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.8%
0-115.3%
1-114.4%

Olancho vs Real Espana stats

Olancho and Real Espana recent form

newest first
Olancho DLDWDW
Real Espana WWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Olancho and Real Espana going into this match

league record before kick-off

Olancho record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Espana record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Olancho vs Real Espana head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Olancho wins 4Draws 4Real Espana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14OlanchoReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional3-0
2026-01-25Real EspanaOlanchoHonduras Liga Nacional2-0
2025-09-28OlanchoReal EspanaHonduras Liga Nacional1-1
2025-07-23Real EspanaOlanchoHonduras Liga Nacional4-1
2025-05-04Real EspanaOlanchoLiga Nacional1-0
2025-03-01OlanchoReal EspanaLiga Nacional0-3
2024-10-21Real EspanaOlanchoLiga Nacional1-1
2024-08-11OlanchoReal EspanaLiga Nacional3-1
2024-03-30Real EspanaOlanchoLiga Nacional1-1
2024-02-01OlanchoReal EspanaLiga Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olancho vs Real Espana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.0%, draw 29.2%, away 35.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.57 3.06 2.52
Bet365 2.62 3.25 2.30
BetVictor 2.60 3.20 2.50
Betano 2.52 3.10 2.57
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.40
Marathonbet 2.57 3.06 2.52
Pinnacle 2.54 2.96 2.55
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.57 ▼ -0.12
X 3.08 ▼ -0.16
2 2.51 ▲ +0.20

3 snapshots recorded, from .