Drogheda United
vs
Galway United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Drogheda United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Drogheda United is the favourite, not a value bet.
Drogheda United vs Galway United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drogheda United vs Galway United
| Probability | Drogheda United | Draw | Galway United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 29.0% | 35.1% |
| Market | 42.1% | 26.3% | 31.6% |
| Final | 40.6% | 27.0% | 32.4% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.7% | +0.9% |
Why Drogheda United
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.1% per unit staked (our 40.6% × 2.29 − 1).
Drogheda United vs Galway United match preview
Drogheda United faces Galway United in their upcoming Premier Division match on October 30, 2026. According to our model, Drogheda United has a 41% probability of winning, while Galway United stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Drogheda, with expected goals of 1.30 for Drogheda and 1.28 for Galway.
In terms of recent form, Drogheda United has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Galway United has two wins, two draws, and one loss. In their last ten encounters, Drogheda United has secured 2 wins, with Galway United winning 4 times and 4 matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Drogheda United and Galway United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Drogheda United and Galway United attack and defence ratings
Drogheda United
Galway United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drogheda United vs Galway United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drogheda United | 40.6% | 2.46 | -1.5% | 2.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drogheda United | 40.6% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Galway United | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drogheda United win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Drogheda United vs Galway United stats
Drogheda United and Galway United recent form
| Drogheda United |
LWLLWW |
| Galway United |
DLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drogheda United and Galway United season so far
Drogheda United record
- They have won 9 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Galway United record
- They have won 10 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Drogheda United vs Galway United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Drogheda United | Galway United | FAI Cup | 1-2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Galway United | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Drogheda United | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-3 |
| 2026-02-06 | Galway United | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Galway United | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Drogheda United | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Galway United | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Drogheda United | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-23 | Drogheda United | Galway United | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-13 | Galway United | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Drogheda United vs Galway United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 26.3%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.54 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.45 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.54 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.59 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.09 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .