Palermo
vs
Juve Stabia
1 – 0 Full time
Palermo vs Juve Stabia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Palermo vs Juve Stabia
| Probability | Palermo | Draw | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 24.2% | 16.5% |
| Market | 61.0% | 24.1% | 14.9% |
| Final | 60.5% | 24.1% | 15.3% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
Why Palermo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Palermo and Juve Stabia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Palermo and Juve Stabia attack and defence ratings
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Palermo vs Juve Stabia: result vs prediction
Palermo 1 – 0 Juve Stabia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Palermo vs Juve Stabia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palermo | 60.5% | 1.65 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palermo | 60.5% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Juve Stabia | 15.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Palermo win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 40.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Palermo vs Juve Stabia stats
Palermo and Juve Stabia recent form
| Palermo |
WWLLWD |
| Juve Stabia |
LLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Palermo vs Juve Stabia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Palermo | Juve Stabia | Italy Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Juve Stabia | Palermo | Italy Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Palermo vs Juve Stabia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 24.4%, away 14.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 3.94 | 6.24 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.56 | 4.10 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 3.94 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.05 | 6.66 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.74 | 5.70 |
| Superbet | 1.56 | 4.00 | 6.10 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 3.95 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .