Sliema Wanderers
vs
Valletta FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Valletta FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Valletta FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC
| Probability | Sliema Wanderers | Draw | Valletta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 28.3% | 40.8% |
| Market | 27.8% | 27.6% | 44.7% |
| Final | 28.5% | 27.8% | 43.7% |
| Edge | +0.8% | +0.2% | -1.0% |
Why Valletta FC
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (our 43.7% × 2.04 − 1).
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC match preview
Sliema Wanderers face Valletta FC in the Malta Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, Valletta FC has a 41% chance of winning, while Sliema Wanderers are at 31%, and a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Sliema are 1.22, compared to Valletta's 1.44, suggesting a competitive matchup. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with an occurrence rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Sliema Wanderers have recorded two wins, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Valletta FC has been in strong form, winning all of their last six games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50%, and both teams scoring has a probability of 55%. The head-to-head record shows Sliema with five wins, Valletta with three, and two draws in their last ten encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sliema Wanderers and Valletta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Sliema Wanderers and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings
Sliema Wanderers
Valletta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valletta FC | 43.7% | 2.29 | -1.0% | 2.04 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sliema Wanderers | 28.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Valletta FC | 43.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valletta FC win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC stats
Sliema Wanderers and Valletta FC recent form
| Sliema Wanderers |
DWWLDD |
| Valletta FC |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sliema Wanderers and Valletta FC season so far
Sliema Wanderers record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Valletta FC record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sliema Wanderers | Valletta FC | Malta Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Sliema Wanderers | Valletta FC | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Sliema Wanderers | Valletta FC | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-10 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-02-26 | Valletta FC | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Sliema Wanderers | Valletta FC | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sliema Wanderers vs Valletta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.8%, draw 27.6%, away 44.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.22 | 2.04 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.35 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.04 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.22 | 2.02 |