Sliema Wanderers
vs
Hamrun Spartans
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sliema Wanderers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans
| Probability | Sliema Wanderers | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 26.7% | 34.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.9% | 26.7% | 34.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans match preview
Sliema Wanderers face Hamrun Spartans in the Malta Premier League with Sliema Wanderers holding a 39% probability of winning, while Hamrun Spartans sit at 34%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Sliema, with a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams show a strong tendency to score, with 61% probability for both teams to find the net, and a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Sliema Wanderers have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Hamrun Spartans are on a stronger run with four wins and two draws. Head-to-head statistics indicate Sliema has won once while Hamrun has secured two victories in their last three encounters. Expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with Sliema Wanderers at 1.53 and Hamrun Spartans at 1.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans attack and defence ratings
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sliema Wanderers | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sliema Wanderers | 38.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Hamrun Spartans | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sliema Wanderers win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans stats
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans recent form
| Sliema Wanderers |
WWLDDW |
| Hamrun Spartans |
DDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans season so far
Sliema Wanderers record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hamrun Spartans record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Hamrun Spartans | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Hamrun Spartans | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Sliema Wanderers | Hamrun Spartans | Malta Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.