Balzan FC
vs
Hibernians
Garuda Lions Prediction: Balzan FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Balzan FC vs Hibernians overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Balzan FC vs Hibernians
| Probability | Balzan FC | Draw | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 28.8% | 22.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.6% | 28.8% | 22.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Balzan FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.93.
Balzan FC vs Hibernians match preview
Balzan FC faces Hibernians in the Malta Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Balzan FC has a 49% probability of winning, while Hibernians have a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Balzan FC, with a 12% likelihood. The expected goals for Balzan FC stand at 1.47, compared to Hibernians' 0.93.
In terms of recent form, Balzan FC has recorded a series of draws and one win, with their latest results being D-L-D-D-D-W. Hibernians, on the other hand, have shown mixed results with two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 43%, and both teams to score is estimated at 48%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Balzan FC and Hibernians expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Balzan FC and Hibernians attack and defence ratings
Balzan FC
Hibernians
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Balzan FC vs Hibernians markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 48.6% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Hibernians | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Balzan FC win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Balzan FC vs Hibernians stats
Balzan FC and Hibernians recent form
| Balzan FC |
DLDDDW |
| Hibernians |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Balzan FC and Hibernians season so far
Balzan FC record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Hibernians record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.