Floriana
vs
Valletta FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Valletta FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Floriana vs Valletta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Floriana vs Valletta FC
| Probability | Floriana | Draw | Valletta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 24.5% | 40.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.5% | 24.5% | 40.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Valletta FC
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Floriana vs Valletta FC match preview
Floriana faces Valletta FC in the Malta Premier League with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a competitive match, with Valletta FC holding a slight advantage at 40% compared to Floriana's 35%, and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals are 1.64 for Floriana and 1.75 for Valletta FC, suggesting a closely contested encounter.
Recent form favors Valletta FC, who are on a strong run with four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Floriana has recorded three draws, two wins, and one loss in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Floriana and Valletta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Floriana and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings
Floriana
Valletta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Floriana vs Valletta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valletta FC | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floriana | 35.5% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Valletta FC | 40.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valletta FC win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Floriana vs Valletta FC stats
Floriana and Valletta FC recent form
| Floriana |
DDDWLW |
| Valletta FC |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Floriana and Valletta FC season so far
Floriana record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Valletta FC record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Floriana vs Valletta FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Valletta FC | Floriana | Malta Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Floriana | Valletta FC | Malta Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Valletta FC | Floriana | Malta Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Floriana | Valletta FC | Malta Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Floriana | Valletta FC | Malta Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.