Sutjeska
vs
Petrovac
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sutjeska
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.58.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Petrovac
| Probability | Sutjeska | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 26.3% | 12.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 61.7% | 26.3% | 12.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Sutjeska
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac match preview
Sutjeska enters the match against Petrovac with a strong probability of winning at 62%. Their recent form shows a consistent performance, with three wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Sutjeska stand at 1.62, indicating a solid attacking capability. In contrast, Petrovac has struggled recently, recording two wins and four losses in their last six games, with an expected goals figure of just 0.58.
In terms of head-to-head encounters, Sutjeska has won three of the last ten matches against Petrovac, who has five victories in that same period. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Sutjeska, occurring with a 17% probability. Additionally, there is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sutjeska and Petrovac expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Sutjeska and Petrovac attack and defence ratings
Sutjeska
Petrovac
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sutjeska vs Petrovac markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 61.7% | 1.62 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.3% | 2.61 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 61.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Petrovac | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.0% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Sutjeska vs Petrovac stats
Sutjeska and Petrovac recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sutjeska and Petrovac season so far
Sutjeska record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Petrovac | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Petrovac | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Sutjeska | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Petrovac | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Sutjeska | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Petrovac | Sutjeska | First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Sutjeska | Petrovac | First League | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Petrovac | Sutjeska | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Sutjeska | Petrovac | First League | 0-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Sutjeska | Petrovac | First League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.