Mornar
vs
Petrovac
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mornar
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mornar vs Petrovac overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mornar vs Petrovac
| Probability | Mornar | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.9% | 21.1% | 14.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 64.9% | 21.1% | 14.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Mornar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mornar vs Petrovac match preview
Mornar is set to face Petrovac in the Montenegro First League, with the model indicating a strong likelihood of a Mornar victory at 65%. The expected goals suggest Mornar will score approximately 2.18, while Petrovac is projected to net around 0.93. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, Mornar has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Petrovac has struggled with one win, three losses, and one draw. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Mornar has secured three wins, Petrovac two, with five matches ending in a draw. The model also indicates a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mornar and Petrovac expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Mornar and Petrovac attack and defence ratings
Mornar
Petrovac
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mornar vs Petrovac markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 64.9% | 1.54 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% | 1.16 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 42.3% | 2.36 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 64.9% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Petrovac | 14.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 42.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Mornar vs Petrovac stats
Mornar and Petrovac recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mornar and Petrovac season so far
Mornar record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Petrovac record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Mornar vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Petrovac | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mornar | Petrovac | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Mornar | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Petrovac | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Mornar | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Petrovac | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Petrovac | Mornar | First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Mornar | Petrovac | First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Petrovac | Mornar | First League | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Mornar | Petrovac | First League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.