Buducnost Podgorica
vs
Mornar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar
| Probability | Buducnost Podgorica | Draw | Mornar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 27.8% | 24.8% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 47.4% | 27.8% | 24.8% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Buducnost Podgorica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar match preview
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar are set to face off in the Montenegro First League on October 27, 2026. According to our model, Buducnost Podgorica has a 47% probability of winning, while Mornar has a 25% chance, with a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Buducnost Podgorica, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Expected goals for Buducnost Podgorica stand at 1.55, compared to Mornar's 1.06.
In terms of recent form, Buducnost Podgorica has recorded a series of results including three wins and a draw in their last six matches. Mornar's recent performance shows two wins, two draws, and two losses. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Buducnost Podgorica has secured five wins, while Mornar has won three times, with two matches ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar attack and defence ratings
Buducnost Podgorica
Mornar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 47.4% | 2.11 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 47.4% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Mornar | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Buducnost Podgorica win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.4% |
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar stats
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar recent form
| Buducnost Podgorica |
DWDWWW |
| Mornar |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar season so far
Buducnost Podgorica record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mornar record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Mornar | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Buducnost Podgorica | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mornar | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Buducnost Podgorica | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mornar | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Buducnost Podgorica | Mornar | First League | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Mornar | Buducnost Podgorica | First League | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Buducnost Podgorica | Mornar | First League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Mornar | Buducnost Podgorica | First League | 0-2 |
| 2024-06-19 | Buducnost Podgorica | Mornar | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.