Dečić
vs
Otrant-Olympic
Garuda Lions Prediction: Otrant-Olympic
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.02.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic
| Probability | Dečić | Draw | Otrant-Olympic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 29.7% | 43.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.4% | 29.7% | 43.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Otrant-Olympic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic match preview
Dečić faces Otrant-Olympic in a Montenegro First League match on October 29, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 26% for Dečić, 30% for a draw, and 44% for Otrant-Olympic. The expected goals for Dečić stand at 1.02, while Otrant-Olympic is projected to score 1.38. Recent form shows Dečić struggling with five consecutive matches without a win, while Otrant-Olympic has shown better results with two wins in their last three games.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are given a 49% likelihood of scoring at least once. In their last head-to-head encounter, Dečić secured a victory, leading the series with one win against Otrant-Olympic's zero.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic attack and defence ratings
Dečić
Otrant-Olympic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 26.4% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Otrant-Olympic | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic stats
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic recent form
| Dečić |
LLDLDL |
| Otrant-Olympic |
DWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic season so far
Dečić record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Otrant-Olympic record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Otrant-Olympic | Dečić | Montenegro First League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.