Sutjeska
vs
Jezero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sutjeska
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.75.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sutjeska vs Jezero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Jezero
| Probability | Sutjeska | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.4% | 21.2% | 11.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 67.4% | 21.2% | 11.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Sutjeska
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Sutjeska vs Jezero match preview
Sutjeska enters the match against Jezero with a strong probability of winning at 67%, reflecting their recent form of three wins and two draws in their last five matches. The expected goals for Sutjeska stand at 2.08, indicating a solid offensive capability, while Jezero is projected to score only 0.75 goals, showcasing their struggles with a recent record of six games without a win.
In their last five head-to-head encounters, Sutjeska has secured one win, while Jezero has also claimed one victory, with three matches ending in draws. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Sutjeska, with a 54% chance of the match seeing over 2.5 goals and a 47% likelihood of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sutjeska and Jezero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Sutjeska and Jezero attack and defence ratings
Sutjeska
Jezero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sutjeska vs Jezero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 67.4% | 1.48 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win | 43.6% | 2.29 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 67.4% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Jezero | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win | 43.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 32.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Sutjeska vs Jezero stats
Sutjeska and Jezero recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sutjeska and Jezero season so far
Sutjeska record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jezero record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sutjeska vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Jezero | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sutjeska | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Jezero | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Sutjeska | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Jezero | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.