Arsenal Tivat
vs
Bokelj
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bokelj
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj
| Probability | Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 30.8% | 41.3% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 27.9% | 30.8% | 41.3% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Bokelj
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj match preview
Arsenal Tivat faces Bokelj in the Montenegro First League, with the model assigning probabilities of 28% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 41% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Expected goals for Arsenal Tivat stand at 1.01, while Bokelj has a higher expectation of 1.28 goals.
In terms of recent form, Arsenal Tivat has recorded a draw, followed by two losses, a win, and two more losses, while Bokelj's last five matches include three wins, a draw, and a loss. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Arsenal Tivat with four wins, Bokelj with three, and three matches ending in a draw. Both teams have a 47% probability of scoring, and there is a 40% chance that over 2.5 goals will be scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 41.3% | 2.42 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Tivat | 27.9% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Bokelj | 41.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj stats
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj recent form
| Arsenal Tivat |
DLLWLL |
| Bokelj |
WLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj season so far
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Bokelj record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-12 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | First League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.