Montenegro First League Β· Β·Matchday 14

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bokelj

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor

Bokelj 34%
Draw 34%
Buducnost Podgorica 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bokelj wins
34%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBokeljDrawBuducnost Podgorica
Model34.4%34.0%31.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final34.4%34.0%31.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica match preview

Bokelj faces Buducnost Podgorica in a closely contested match, with both teams showing competitive form. Bokelj's recent record includes three wins and two losses, while Buducnost Podgorica has been more consistent, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches with four wins and two draws. According to our model, the probabilities for a win are quite balanced, with Bokelj at 34%, a draw at 34%, and Buducnost Podgorica at 32%.

The expected goals for this match suggest a narrow contest, with Bokelj projected to score 1.00 and Buducnost Podgorica 0.95. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Bokelj, occurring with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 40% chance that both teams will score, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 31%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bokelj ↓ / Buducnost Podg β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals

Bokelj 1.00
Buducnost Podgorica 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.95

Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica attack and defence ratings

Bokelj

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Buducnost Podgorica

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bokelj 34.4% 2.90 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 60.0% 1.67 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.5% 1.46 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.53 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bokelj34.4%
Draw34.0%
Buducnost Podgorica31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.9%
Under 2.569.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.0%
No60.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)66.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.6%
Handicap -1Bokelj win13.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.6%
1-114.9%
1-012.9%

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica stats

Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica recent form

newest first
Bokelj WLWDWL
Buducnost Podgorica DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica season so far

league record

Bokelj record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Buducnost Podgorica record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Bokelj wins 1Draws 2Buducnost Podgorica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-30Buducnost PodgoricaBokeljMontenegro First League0-0
2026-05-20Buducnost PodgoricaBokeljMontenegro First League2-1
2026-03-21BokeljBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League2-0
2025-11-29Buducnost PodgoricaBokeljMontenegro First League0-1
2025-09-21BokeljBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Bokelj Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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