Montenegro First League Β· Β·Matchday 14

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sutjeska

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.82.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

DG Arena, Podgorica

Mladost DG 18%
Draw 28%
Sutjeska 54%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Sutjeska wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
45%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
13% of simulated outcomes

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost DG vs Sutjeska

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost DGDrawSutjeska
Model18.2%27.6%54.2%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final18.2%27.6%54.2%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Sutjeska

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska match preview

Mladost DG faces Sutjeska in the Montenegro First League on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Mladost DG has a probability of 18% to win, while Sutjeska is favored at 54%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Expected goals suggest Mladost DG will score 0.82, while Sutjeska is projected to net 1.58.

Recent form shows Mladost DG struggling with one win in their last six matches, while Sutjeska has been in better shape, recording four wins in their last six. The head-to-head record favors Sutjeska with six wins and three draws in the last ten encounters. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, and both teams to score is at 45%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost DG ↓ / Sutjeska β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 13% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Mladost DG and Sutjeska expected goals

Mladost DG 0.82
Sutjeska 1.58

Total expected goals: 2.39

Mladost DG and Sutjeska attack and defence ratings

Mladost DG

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Sutjeska

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sutjeska 54.2% 1.85 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 54.6% 1.83 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.8% 1.22 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 45.8% 2.18 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost DG18.2%
Draw27.6%
Sutjeska54.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.8%
Under 2.557.2%
Both teams to scoreYes45.4%
No54.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)81.8%
Handicap -1Sutjeska win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss45.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.2%
1-112.9%
0-211.4%

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska stats

Mladost DG and Sutjeska recent form

newest first
Mladost DG LDDLLW
Sutjeska DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost DG and Sutjeska season so far

league record

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sutjeska record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Mladost DG wins 3Draws 6Sutjeska wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-28SutjeskaMladost DGMontenegro First League5-1
2026-05-20Mladost DGSutjeskaMontenegro First League0-1
2026-03-21SutjeskaMladost DGMontenegro First League1-0
2026-02-07SutjeskaMladost DGFriendlies Clubs1-1
2025-11-30Mladost DGSutjeskaMontenegro First League2-3
2025-09-21SutjeskaMladost DGMontenegro First League3-1
2024-05-12Mladost DGSutjeskaFirst League3-2
2024-03-13SutjeskaMladost DGFirst League2-1
2023-11-11Mladost DGSutjeskaFirst League1-1
2023-09-03SutjeskaMladost DGFirst League3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost DG vs Sutjeska odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Sutjeska Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now