Mladost DG
vs
Sutjeska
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sutjeska
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost DG vs Sutjeska
| Probability | Mladost DG | Draw | Sutjeska |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.2% | 27.6% | 54.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 18.2% | 27.6% | 54.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Sutjeska
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska match preview
Mladost DG faces Sutjeska in the Montenegro First League on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Mladost DG has a probability of 18% to win, while Sutjeska is favored at 54%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Expected goals suggest Mladost DG will score 0.82, while Sutjeska is projected to net 1.58.
Recent form shows Mladost DG struggling with one win in their last six matches, while Sutjeska has been in better shape, recording four wins in their last six. The head-to-head record favors Sutjeska with six wins and three draws in the last ten encounters. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, and both teams to score is at 45%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mladost DG and Sutjeska expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Mladost DG and Sutjeska attack and defence ratings
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 54.2% | 1.85 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.8% | 1.22 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 18.2% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Sutjeska | 54.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-2 | 11.4% |
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska stats
Mladost DG and Sutjeska recent form
| LDDLLW | |
| DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mladost DG and Sutjeska season so far
Mladost DG record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sutjeska record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 5-1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | First League | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-13 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | First League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | First League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.