Otrant-Olympic
vs
Arsenal Tivat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Otrant-Olympic
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 0.95.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat
| Probability | Otrant-Olympic | Draw | Arsenal Tivat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.4% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 73.4% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Otrant-Olympic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat match preview
Otrant-Olympic enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, while Arsenal Tivat has a lower chance at 10%. The expected goals for Otrant-Olympic stands at 2.69, significantly higher than Arsenal Tivat's 0.95. Recent form shows Otrant-Olympic with a mixed record of D-W-D-W-W-L, whereas Arsenal Tivat has struggled, recording D-L-L-W-L-L in their last matches.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and 58% for both teams to score. In their last head-to-head encounter, Otrant-Olympic secured a win, continuing their favorable trend against Arsenal Tivat.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Otrant-Olympic and Arsenal Tivat expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Otrant-Olympic and Arsenal Tivat attack and defence ratings
Otrant-Olympic
Arsenal Tivat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 73.4% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% | 1.11 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win | 53.2% | 1.88 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 73.4% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Arsenal Tivat | 10.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win | 53.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 26.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-0 | 8.5% |
Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat stats
Otrant-Olympic and Arsenal Tivat recent form
| Otrant-Olympic |
DWDWWL |
| Arsenal Tivat |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Otrant-Olympic and Arsenal Tivat season so far
Otrant-Olympic record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Arsenal Tivat | Otrant-Olympic | Montenegro First League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.