Petrovac
vs
Mladost DG
Garuda Lions Prediction: Petrovac
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.04.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrovac vs Mladost DG
| Probability | Petrovac | Draw | Mladost DG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 24.9% | 20.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 54.8% | 24.9% | 20.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Petrovac
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.04.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG match preview
Petrovac will face Mladost DG in a Montenegro First League match on October 28, 2026. According to our model, Petrovac has a 55% probability of winning, while Mladost DG has a 20% chance, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Petrovac stand at 1.83, compared to Mladost DG's 1.04, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Petrovac, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Petrovac has recorded one win, three losses, and two draws in their last six matches, while Mladost DG's recent performances include one win, three losses, and two draws. Historically, Petrovac has had the upper hand in their last ten encounters, winning five times against Mladost DG's three victories. Both teams also have a 55% probability of scoring in this match, indicating potential for an engaging contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrovac and Mladost DG expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Petrovac and Mladost DG attack and defence ratings
Petrovac
Mladost DG
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrovac vs Mladost DG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrovac | 54.8% | 1.82 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrovac | 54.8% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Mladost DG | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrovac win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Petrovac vs Mladost DG stats
Petrovac and Mladost DG recent form
| Petrovac |
WLLLDD |
| Mladost DG |
LDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrovac and Mladost DG season so far
Petrovac record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Mladost DG record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Petrovac | Mladost DG | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Mladost DG | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Mladost DG | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Petrovac | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mladost DG | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Petrovac | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 4-0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Petrovac | Mladost DG | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-08 | Mladost DG | Petrovac | First League | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Petrovac | Mladost DG | First League | 3-2 |
| 2023-10-01 | Mladost DG | Petrovac | First League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.